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The Scheffer climate index is a reliable predictor of above-ground decay hazard across climate zones.

Under review — the register is reading the literature and will publish a conclusion once directional evidence has been indexed.

In plain terms

14 studies are indexed, but none has yet been classified for or against, so the record cannot answer this either way.

This sentence is generated from the same numbers shown below — consensus share, confidence band and the number of indexed studies. Open any section to see exactly how it was reached.

Version 2 · WI-EV v1.0.0 · last swept 2026-08-04

Evidence Score

54

0–100, rule-based

Confidence

Low confidence

Too few, too old or too conflicting sources to specify from.

Consensus

0%

0 support · 0 contradict

Studies

14

1986–2024

Confidence is limited most by volume of evidence (0/30).

Behind the answer

All of the data, one click away.

Nothing here is hidden — it is folded, so the answer stays readable. Open any section to see exactly how the numbers were produced.

How the score is built6 weighted components, 54/100 total
Volume of evidence

0 directional studies, weighted by grade.

0/30
Study quality

Mean evidence grade 59/100 across the pool.

15/25
Agreement

0% of weighted directional evidence agrees.

20/20
Peer review

86% published in peer-reviewed venues.

9/10
Recency

Median publication year 2020.

7/10
Reproducibility

64% resolvable by DOI and independently checkable.

3/5
Where the literature disagreesNo direct contradictions in the indexed pool

No direct contradictions in the indexed pool. That is not the same as agreement — it can also mean too few directional studies have been published to disagree yet.

How the consensus moved over timeConsensus recomputed using only the evidence published up to each year
YearPublishedCumulativeSupportContradictConsensus
198611000%
200912000%
201113000%
201514000%
201615000%
201916000%
202039000%
2021211000%
2022213000%
2024114000%
Revision history1 published revision
  1. v214 new studies indexed, Evidence Score +54 to 54.2026-08-04 · score 54 · 0%
Every indexed record14 studies with stance, grade and citation count

Russian forests and climate change

Leskinen, Pekka, Lindner, Marcus, Verkerk, Pieter Johannes et al. · 2020 · What science can tell us · doi:10.36333/wsctu11

The title concerns Russian forests and climate change, without evaluating above-ground decay prediction.

Neutral

Grade C · 87 citations

Not peer-reviewed

Wood decay hazard in Spain using the Scheffer index: proposal for an improvement

Juan Fernandez-Golfin, Enrique Larrumbide, Antonio Ruano et al. · 2016 · European Journal of Wood and Wood Products · doi:10.1007/s00107-016-1036-z

Proposing an improved Spanish Scheffer index does not, without findings, establish or refute cross-zone predictive reliability.

Neutral

Grade C · 15 citations

Peer-reviewed

Signature Wood Modifications Reveal Decomposer Community History

Jonathan S. Schilling, Justin T. Kaffenberger, Feng Jin Liew et al. · 2015 · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0120679

The title addresses decomposer community history, not climate-index prediction of decay hazard.

Neutral

Grade B · 54 citations

Peer-reviewed

Stance classification is automated and reviewed against each record's own abstract; it is a reading of the literature, not a measurement. The Evidence Score is a rule-based function of indexed metadata under method WI-EV v1.0.0and does not constitute proof of the statement.

Cite this claim

Citable, versioned, machine-readable.

Each claim keeps a permanent URL and a version number. Cite the version you read — earlier conclusions stay visible in the revision history above.

APA
WoodIntel. (2026). The Scheffer climate index is a reliable predictor of above-ground decay hazard across climate zones. (Evidence Engine WI-EV v1.0.0, claim version 2). Retrieved 2026-08-04, from https://woodintel.io/evidence/scheffer-index-decay-prediction
BibTeX
@misc{woodintel_scheffer_index_decay_prediction_2026,
  title  = {The Scheffer climate index is a reliable predictor of above-ground decay hazard across climate zones.},
  author = {{WoodIntel}},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {Evidence Engine WI-EV v1.0.0, claim version 2, accessed 2026-08-04},
  url    = {https://woodintel.io/evidence/scheffer-index-decay-prediction}
}
Open API
curl https://woodintel.io/api/public/v1/evidence?claim=scheffer-index-decay-prediction

Returns the score, the indexed studies with stance and grade, the contradictions, the timeline and the full revision history. Open under CC BY 4.0 — API documentation.